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Trends

How the 90-day aid picture has moved across 10 issues of the Pacific Aid Signal, from 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-17. These are IATI-reported figures: when a funder stops publishing, their spending drops out of the 90-day window, even if they are still spending. The trend is therefore a measure of two things at once — actual disbursement and data currency.

10 issues
$203.6M latest 90-day total
-5.2% since issue 1
14 countries

Regional total

Combined 90-day disbursements across all 14 countries, issue by issue.

$193.4M $199.9M $206.3M $212.7M $219.1M $225.5M $214.7M $214.8M $214.3M $213.0M $212.9M $212.0M $212.4M $207.6M $205.4M $203.6M 09-08 #1 09-09 #2 09-10 #3 09-11 #4 09-12 #5 09-13 #6 09-14 #7 09-15 #8 09-16 #9 09-17 #10

By country

Each card shows the 90-day trajectory for one country. The sparkline covers all 10 issues. Countries are ordered by peak disbursement.

PNG ↓ -3%
$63.2M $63.2M–$67.7M
Fiji ↓ -10%
$43.5M $43.5M–$48.8M
Solomon Is ↓ -3%
$28.0M $28.0M–$29.1M
Marshall Is ↑ +1%
$14.5M $14.3M–$14.6M
Vanuatu ↓ -5%
$13.5M $13.5M–$14.1M
Tonga ↓ -10%
$10.8M $10.8M–$12.0M
Kiribati ↓ -4%
$10.4M $10.4M–$10.9M
Samoa ↓ -1%
$9.6M $9.6M–$10.3M
Tuvalu ↓ -1%
$4.9M $4.9M–$4.9M
Micronesia ↓ -0%
$3.4M $3.3M–$3.4M
Cook Is ↓ -19%
$1.1M $1.1M–$1.3M
Nauru ↓ -103%
$-0.0M $-0.0M–$1.0M
Niue ↓ -22%
$0.6M $0.6M–$0.8M
Palau ↑ +135%
$0.2M $0.1M–$0.2M

Biggest movers

Countries with the largest absolute change in 90-day disbursements between the first and latest issue.

Most stable

Countries with the narrowest spread between their highest and lowest 90-day figures, as a percentage of their peak.

Most volatile

Countries with the widest spread. High volatility in small countries often reflects a single large transaction entering or leaving the 90-day window.

What drives the movement

Two forces move these numbers. First, real disbursements: a new grant, a tranche payment, or the end of a contract. Second, the publication cycle: IATI data arrives in batches, not continuously. When a funder publishes a batch of transactions, countries jump. When the batch ages out of the 90-day window and the funder has not published another, countries fall — even if spending continues. The data freshness page shows which funders are current and which are not.

Australia’s IATI data ends 30 June 2025. As that date recedes further beyond the 90-day window, countries where Australia is the largest funder will increasingly understate their actual aid picture. This is not a bug in the Signal — it is the fact the Signal exists to make visible.